List of countries by future population (United Nations, constant mortality variant)

This is a List of countries by future population using the constant mortality variant (in which it is assumed that current mortality rates stay the same each year), ranging from 2020 to 2100 in decades or ten-year periods, as estimated by the 2015 revision of the World Population Prospects database by the United Nations Population Division. All figures are rounded and given in thousands.

Nº	Country (or dependent territory)	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060	2070	2080	2090	2100
1		36,306	43,036	48,572	52,179	53,633	52,986	50,393	46,454	41,991
2		2,927	2,910	2,757	2,554	2,348	2,107	1,845	1,626	1,447
3		42,927	47,803	51,291	54,107	55,289	54,861	54,010	52,867	50,880
4	(USA)	56	57	57	55	52	48	44	38	33
5		69	70	71	68	63	59	56	54	52
6		29,076	38,181	48,134	57,999	67,031	74,515	79,840	82,682	83,025
7	(UK)	15	16	15	15	14	13	12	11	10
8		96	104	108	109	108	107	104	100	97
9		45,421	48,834	51,416	53,102	53,821	53,643	52,826	51,561	49,972
10		3,032	2,959	2,797	2,593	2,350	2,086	1,850	1,660	1,496
11	(Netherlands)	105	106	103	97	91	87	82	76	72
12		25,535	28,143	30,267	32,225	33,962	35,348	36,441	37,333	37,884
13		8,624	8,679	8,552	8,304	8,015	7,769	7,549	7,388	7,262
14		10,231	10,669	10,807	10,662	10,266	9,764	9,260	8,786	8,287
15		409	441	459	467	467	460	448	436	424
16		1,485	1,633	1,731	1,761	1,729	1,651	1,555	1,463	1,379
17		169,963	183,770	190,880	191,015	184,871	174,023	160,610	146,604	133,430
18		287	286	277	265	253	244	235	227	220
19		9,343	8,872	8,282	7,761	7,266	6,806	6,490	6,258	6,009
20		11,596	11,819	11,883	11,855	11,780	11,726	11,705	11,688	11,629
21		397	469	527	571	599	610	607	596	579
22		12,328	15,382	18,478	21,380	23,911	25,894	27,184	27,745	27,635
23	(UK)	60	58	55	50	46	43	41	38	36
24		815	872	895	888	853	794	726	662	604
25		11,511	12,963	14,159	15,003	15,453	15,495	15,181	14,596	13,839
26		3,747	3,520	3,199	2,850	2,507	2,187	1,931	1,743	1,595
27		2,458	2,781	3,027	3,194	3,256	3,230	3,157	3,044	2,900
28		215,438	225,282	227,625	223,131	213,549	200,684	186,688	173,339	161,498
29	(UK)	33	35	36	36	35	34	33	32	31
30		450	490	512	515	502	478	454	431	409
31		6,868	6,217	5,525	4,903	4,321	3,818	3,459	3,189	2,940
32		20,769	26,632	32,987	39,265	45,061	50,030	53,780	56,076	56,932
33		13,059	16,921	21,253	25,944	30,321	34,361	37,824	40,318	41,828
34		16,737	18,560	19,898	20,682	20,789	20,337	19,524	18,496	17,340
35		26,187	31,983	37,712	42,915	47,177	50,286	52,083	52,538	51,767
36		37,505	39,846	41,234	42,133	42,876	43,474	43,837	44,109	44,229
37		552	608	650	673	674	653	620	584	547
38	(Netherlands)	26	28	28	28	28	28	28	28	28
39	(UK)	64	70	75	77	80	82	84	86	86
40		5,352	6,176	6,842	7,319	7,559	7,551	7,333	6,948	6,446
41		16,362	21,452	26,784	31,898	36,384	39,880	42,113	42,959	42,488
42		18,791	19,972	20,489	20,472	20,043	19,344	18,494	17,620	16,826
43		1,398,830	1,391,099	1,334,353	1,243,040	1,132,123	1,024,732	936,271	866,480	805,819
44		50,141	52,627	53,312	52,322	50,062	46,999	43,571	40,214	37,183
45		881	1,065	1,246	1,415	1,556	1,665	1,736	1,766	1,758
46	(NZ)	21	22	23	23	22	21	20	18	17
47		5,035	5,358	5,508	5,502	5,368	5,139	4,851	4,561	4,298
48		4,145	3,892	3,597	3,296	3,007	2,745	2,529	2,349	2,196
49		11,337	11,069	10,503	9,653	8,688	7,831	7,123	6,515	6,014
50	(Netherlands)	163	173	177	180	182	184	184	183	181
51		1,215	1,283	1,317	1,331	1,321	1,290	1,255	1,230	1,208
52		10,540	10,281	9,802	9,357	8,856	8,349	8,040	7,845	7,627
53		89,777	117,576	147,919	178,498	207,169	231,851	250,677	262,357	266,701
54		5,758	5,910	5,972	5,989	6,022	6,074	6,089	6,075	6,060
55		944	1,040	1,099	1,125	1,115	1,073	1,010	938	859
56		74	75	74	71	66	60	55	49	45
57		11,090	11,987	12,564	12,757	12,613	12,202	11,588	10,848	10,062
58		1,310	1,553	1,800	2,054	2,268	2,434	2,547	2,583	2,552
59		17,305	19,362	20,966	22,021	22,520	22,514	22,090	21,363	20,448
60		100,331	115,974	131,529	145,458	155,925	163,629	168,631	170,427	169,249
61		6,216	6,325	6,282	6,046	5,664	5,158	4,572	3,988	3,475
62		967	1,212	1,443	1,651	1,822	1,940	1,998	1,997	1,946
63		5,867	7,158	8,478	9,664	10,597	11,281	11,675	11,771	11,636
64		1,291	1,222	1,139	1,062	985	912	857	816	776
65		111,394	134,924	155,832	172,714	184,304	189,587	188,668	182,779	173,600
66	(UK)	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2
67	(Denmark)	49	49	50	50	49	49	49	47	46
68		108	117	123	125	125	121	112	104	95
69		914	930	918	880	826	762	694	624	556
70		5,565	5,599	5,521	5,441	5,390	5,338	5,273	5,208	5,132
71		65,501	66,991	67,793	67,837	67,684	67,732	67,831	67,689	67,275
72	(France)	304	377	454	528	596	660	715	758	789
73	(France)	296	308	313	310	301	288	273	259	245
74		1,907	2,264	2,603	2,901	3,133	3,285	3,359	3,357	3,291
75		3,967	3,817	3,563	3,291	2,984	2,669	2,419	2,222	2,031
76		80,072	77,674	74,010	69,500	65,319	62,024	58,990	56,610	54,612
77		30,463	36,433	42,285	47,699	52,111	55,436	57,574	58,316	57,818
78	(UK)	33	32	32	31	29	28	27	26	25
79		10,782	10,274	9,713	9,078	8,322	7,622	7,111	6,701	6,327
80	(Denmark)	56	56	54	51	48	45	42	39	36
81		109	111	110	106	98	87	77	67	58
82	(France)	476	482	481	467	445	426	410	389	367
83	(USA)	180	197	209	215	219	219	216	210	203
84		17,981	21,211	24,174	26,659	28,486	29,544	29,864	29,561	28,808
85		14,281	17,786	21,340	24,703	27,603	29,836	31,258	31,822	31,596
86		2,060	2,491	2,911	3,295	3,599	3,812	3,924	3,929	3,839
87		786	815	809	781	745	695	627	558	494
88		11,342	12,359	12,998	13,216	13,013	12,437	11,618	10,675	9,695
89		8,638	9,659	10,403	10,813	10,896	10,641	10,106	9,430	8,742
90		7,541	7,856	7,872	7,734	7,546	7,319	7,143	7,098	7,071
91		9,657	9,133	8,487	7,857	7,244	6,663	6,215	5,877	5,580
92		341	360	370	372	370	365	357	348	338
93		1,384,671	1,503,641	1,575,446	1,598,788	1,578,185	1,519,439	1,435,167	1,338,814	1,239,743
94		271,320	292,307	304,577	308,072	304,552	296,765	285,965	272,621	258,252
95		83,289	87,865	89,414	88,678	83,635	75,948	69,603	64,193	58,906
96		41,908	53,648	66,947	81,140	95,428	109,424	122,408	133,594	142,425
97		4,862	5,130	5,348	5,507	5,548	5,566	5,626	5,648	5,610
98	(UK)	91	95	98	100	100	101	102	102	101
99		8,701	9,900	11,071	12,214	13,207	14,026	14,721	15,220	15,475
100		59,510	57,989	55,793	52,952	49,776	47,288	45,701	44,401	43,174
101		25,427	31,164	37,024	42,657	47,665	51,697	54,501	55,969	56,074
102		2,836	2,844	2,756	2,608	2,402	2,148	1,879	1,627	1,408
103		124,599	117,951	109,519	101,334	93,509	86,086	80,432	76,176	72,600
104		8,157	9,052	10,332	11,378	12,057	12,447	12,593	12,464	12,124
105		18,589	19,902	20,837	21,670	22,073	22,095	22,070	21,808	21,192
106		51,882	63,800	75,929	87,193	96,731	104,064	108,834	110,820	110,228
107		122	140	155	171	183	191	198	201	201
108		4,314	4,967	5,433	5,771	5,916	5,907	5,882	5,831	5,710
109		6,376	7,050	7,588	8,005	8,224	8,276	8,231	8,085	7,801
110		7,368	8,310	8,975	9,345	9,369	9,076	8,561	7,931	7,254
111		1,914	1,782	1,641	1,514	1,400	1,298	1,218	1,161	1,107
112		5,875	5,203	5,315	5,264	5,132	4,859	4,494	4,190	3,951
113		2,252	2,422	2,525	2,563	2,520	2,408	2,254	2,075	1,886
114		5,070	6,277	7,523	8,699	9,747	10,603	11,197	11,508	11,553
115		39	40	41	41	41	41	41	41	41
116		2,787	2,619	2,427	2,252	2,111	1,985	1,883	1,809	1,739
117		603	668	721	766	805	840	869	895	914
118		6,692	7,363	7,827	8,066	8,012	7,810	7,554	7,196	6,789
119		632	710	758	791	820	838	852	878	900
120		2,083	2,047	1,950	1,823	1,686	1,547	1,425	1,332	1,251
121		27,688	35,226	43,201	51,333	59,198	66,277	72,196	76,658	79,518
122		19,831	25,575	31,860	38,320	44,485	49,972	54,496	57,814	59,777
123		32,322	35,760	37,926	38,952	39,147	38,375	37,037	35,728	34,409
124		392	433	458	473	467	445	420	394	367
125		20,325	26,467	33,284	40,032	46,188	51,358	55,086	57,055	57,310
126		422	420	406	386	367	347	328	312	302
127		53	55	60	63	64	67	67	64	61
128	(France)	393	382	361	331	306	290	275	258	243
129		4,565	5,613	6,701	7,755	8,725	9,571	10,237	10,688	10,923
130		1,289	1,293	1,254	1,180	1,097	1,011	925	850	791
131	(France)	273	342	415	484	545	595	632	655	662
132		134,623	146,803	154,231	156,829	154,976	149,523	141,735	132,727	123,546
133		4,015	3,805	3,478	3,109	2,718	2,321	2,002	1,775	1,594
134		38	39	40	41	43	45	47	48	49
135		3,170	3,467	3,654	3,775	3,818	3,778	3,720	3,648	3,539
136		624	611	584	548	511	472	436	403	375
137	(UK)	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4
138		36,360	39,305	40,951	41,516	40,987	39,520	37,655	35,602	33,342
139		31,850	40,319	49,291	57,990	65,817	72,267	76,885	79,461	80,039
140		56,149	59,678	61,411	61,071	59,322	56,653	53,232	49,591	46,223
141		2,726	3,235	3,698	4,097	4,392	4,570	4,642	4,619	4,513
142		10	11	10	10	9	9	8	8	7
143		30,082	32,530	33,698	33,779	32,734	30,582	27,631	24,501	21,676
144		17,137	17,329	17,132	16,686	16,293	16,047	15,788	15,502	15,233
145	(France)	279	307	329	345	355	362	363	361	357
146		4,718	5,038	5,243	5,360	5,427	5,479	5,488	5,440	5,358
147		6,404	6,951	7,326	7,460	7,362	7,058	6,615	6,121	5,630
148		24,182	35,002	48,979	65,758	84,343	103,521	121,855	137,916	150,582
149		205,965	256,643	310,144	361,527	406,481	442,267	466,246	476,793	474,729
150	(NZ)	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1
151		25,679	26,236	25,950	25,101	24,060	22,917	21,718	20,586	19,479
152	(USA)	56	55	52	47	40	34	30	26	24
153		5,480	5,867	6,146	6,378	6,574	6,732	6,859	6,958	7,021
154		4,809	5,192	5,372	5,557	5,586	5,433	5,249	5,041	4,793
155		208,089	242,823	273,552	298,783	314,449	320,976	319,359	310,385	295,802
156		22	24	26	26	26	26	25	25	24
157		5,327	6,721	8,137	9,532	10,806	11,869	12,680	13,230	13,512
158		4,225	4,744	5,140	5,410	5,551	5,583	5,530	5,413	5,248
159		8,396	9,949	11,410	12,671	13,682	14,395	14,777	14,850	14,664
160		7,062	7,808	8,360	8,697	8,820	8,706	8,393	7,973	7,511
161		33,240	36,400	38,595	39,714	39,744	38,882	37,420	35,599	33,588
162		108,272	122,569	134,410	143,273	148,923	151,271	150,532	147,427	142,538
163		38,285	36,563	33,854	30,915	27,910	24,825	22,251	20,365	18,793
164		10,112	9,610	9,114	8,526	7,874	7,312	6,903	6,547	6,233
165	(USA)	3,666	3,588	3,425	3,192	2,919	2,629	2,344	2,087	1,875
166		2,451	2,770	2,974	3,112	3,160	3,113	2,996	2,868	2,766
167		5,235	6,612	8,172	9,773	11,347	12,843	14,150	15,194	15,928
168		18,795	17,371	15,871	14,315	12,763	11,484	10,538	9,730	9,028
169		142,608	137,128	129,552	123,268	117,228	111,273	107,580	105,048	101,863
170		12,926	15,394	17,681	19,408	20,417	20,750	20,441	19,601	18,429
171	(France)	889	932	946	930	897	862	822	776	728
172	(UK)	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3
173		58	62	65	65	63	61	58	55	53
174		191	200	202	199	190	179	166	153	141
175	(France)	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6
176		111	111	110	106	99	91	82	73	65
177		199	208	221	230	233	236	234	227	217
178		32	33	32	31	30	29	28	27	26
179		211	254	300	342	380	412	437	452	460
180		34,331	38,887	42,408	44,540	45,176	44,912	44,057	42,567	40,763
181		17,415	22,342	27,865	33,757	39,555	45,070	50,089	54,209	57,272
182		8,647	8,149	7,544	6,915	6,313	5,749	5,250	4,837	4,497
183		99	100	99	95	89	83	78	73	68
184		7,121	8,349	9,382	10,106	10,465	10,454	10,100	9,484	8,714
185		5,993	6,333	6,428	6,293	6,021	5,702	5,369	5,044	4,736
186	(Netherlands)	41	46	48	50	51	53	54	55	55
187		5,422	5,278	4,967	4,619	4,251	3,873	3,586	3,388	3,208
188		2,067	2,012	1,917	1,813	1,706	1,608	1,548	1,514	1,473
189		639	749	856	950	1,023	1,078	1,109	1,113	1,099
190		12,364	16,091	20,217	24,485	28,634	32,313	35,258	37,276	38,264
191		56,608	59,204	60,167	59,564	57,565	54,601	51,121	47,473	43,853
192		51,068	51,530	50,118	46,826	43,036	39,591	36,525	34,182	32,572
193		14,050	17,336	20,476	23,329	25,686	27,366	28,275	28,404	27,828
194		46,031	45,163	44,033	42,213	39,584	37,133	35,680	34,611	33,363
195		21,113	21,267	20,796	19,731	18,253	16,685	15,127	13,555	12,100
196		45,200	55,702	66,251	76,057	84,653	91,516	96,196	98,609	98,911
197		564	595	607	601	584	559	528	493	459
198		1,367	1,477	1,539	1,557	1,521	1,442	1,335	1,213	1,088
199		10,089	10,601	10,952	11,373	11,775	12,134	12,471	12,780	13,005
200		8,627	9,090	9,370	9,541	9,650	9,747	9,830	9,934	10,016
201		20,956	28,382	31,335	33,428	34,477	34,512	33,873	32,722	31,177
202		9,406	11,022	12,477	13,863	14,850	15,536	15,954	16,024	15,827
203		61,978	81,175	103,455	127,486	152,063	176,213	198,477	217,543	232,502
204		68,420	67,305	63,896	58,562	52,396	46,603	41,625	37,416	33,969
205		2,318	3,057	3,876	4,702	5,463	6,106	6,588	6,872	6,955
206		8,252	10,228	12,275	14,222	15,932	17,327	18,313	18,832	18,909
207	(NZ)	1	1	1	2	2	2	1	1	1
208		111	120	129	135	139	142	142	139	136
209		1,376	1,363	1,318	1,251	1,161	1,068	986	913	846
210		11,812	12,557	12,847	12,899	12,659	12,159	11,659	11,181	10,617
211		82,038	86,494	89,731	90,308	88,480	85,000	80,769	76,198	71,654
212		5,678	6,113	6,316	6,340	6,178	5,869	5,504	5,122	4,734
213	(UK)	37	41	44	46	46	46	46	45	44
214		10	11	11	11	10	10	10	9	9
215		45,490	59,922	75,689	91,450	106,116	118,688	128,272	134,306	136,642
216		43,603	40,514	37,011	33,866	30,863	28,111	26,191	24,775	23,376
217		9,814	10,911	11,765	12,273	12,407	12,297	12,030	11,774	11,610
218		66,521	69,136	70,647	71,834	72,505	72,922	73,234	73,347	73,044
219		332,873	351,824	364,293	372,872	381,261	389,014	394,498	398,428	400,969
220	(USA)	107	104	98	91	84	77	71	64	58
221		3,487	3,556	3,561	3,508	3,407	3,271	3,112	2,947	2,788
222		31,736	34,206	35,686	36,198	35,445	33,936	32,031	29,876	27,669
223		294	351	406	457	499	532	554	566	569
224		1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
225		33,062	36,330	38,610	39,846	40,121	39,593	38,476	36,970	35,261
226		98,031	104,406	107,680	108,386	106,301	102,478	98,306	94,303	90,541
227	(France)	13	13	13	12	12	11	11	10	10
228		629	726	796	841	860	862	854	837	813
229		29,968	35,947	41,196	45,189	47,372	47,608	46,284	43,818	40,583
230		18,725	24,434	31,031	38,147	45,470	52,702	59,476	65,474	70,424
231		17,179	20,121	22,867	25,051	26,305	26,723	26,439	25,525	24,152
\|align=left\|World	7,712,135	8,344,715	8,801,866	9,086,175	9,198,148	9,172,956	9,052,158	8,850,732	8,574,584

Sources

United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs - Population Division - World Population Prospects, the 2015 Revision

List of countries by future population (United Nations, constant fertility variant)
List of countries by future population (United Nations, high fertility variant)
List of countries by future population (United Nations, instant replacement variant)
List of countries by future population (United Nations, medium fertility variant)
List of countries by future population (United Nations, no change variant)
List of countries by future population (United Nations, zero-migration variant)
List of countries by past and current population (United Nations, estimates)
List of countries by past, current and future population
List of countries by population

🪦 Wikipedia History

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Created: October 13, 2015

Deleted: Unknown — between January 2016 and now

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Wikipedia page ID: 47422068

Metadata captured: May 10, 2026 2:49 PM

Metadata updated: May 10, 2026 2:49 PM

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Lists of countries by past and future population (United Nations)

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Outgoing Wikipedia links (41)

ChinaDenmarkFranceFrench GuianaFrench PolynesiaGaza StripGuadeloupeHong KongKosovoList of countries by future population (United Nations, constant fertility variant)List of countries by future population (United Nations, high fertility variant)List of countries by future population (United Nations, instant replacement variant)List of countries by future population (United Nations, medium fertility variant)List of countries by future population (United Nations, no change variant)List of countries by future population (United Nations, zero-migration variant)List of countries by past and current population (United Nations, estimates)List of countries by past, current and future populationList of countries by populationMacauMartiniqueMayotteMetropolitan FranceMoroccoNetherlandsNew ZealandOverseas collectivitiesOverseas departmentsPuntlandRéunionSahrawi Arab Democratic RepublicSaint BarthélemySaint Martin (France)Saint Pierre and MiquelonSomalilandTransnistriaUnited KingdomUnited NationsUnited StatesWallis and FutunaWest BankWorld

External links (3)

http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/DVD

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Templates (234)

AFGAIAALBALGANDANGARGARMARUASMATGAUSAUTAZEBANBDIBELBENBERBESBFABHRBHSBIHBLRBLZBOLBOTBRABRBBRUBTNBULCAFCANCAYCHACHLCHNCIVCMRCODCOGCOKCOLCOMCPVCRICROCUBCURCYPCZEDJIDMADNKDOMECUEGYERIESHESPESTETHFIJFINFLKFRAFROFSMGABGAMGBRGEOGERGHAGIBGLPGNBGNQGRDGREGRLGUAGUFGUIGUMGUYHAIHKGHONHUNIDNIMNINDIRLIRNIRQISLISRITAJAMJORJPNKAZKENKGZKHMKIRKORKWTLAOLATLBNLBRLBYLCALESLIELITLUXMACMARMASMCOMDAMDGMDVMEXMHLMKDMLIMLTMNEMNGMNPMOZMRIMSRMTNMTQMWIMYAMYTNAMNCLNERNGANICNIUNLDNORNPLNRUNZLOMNPAKPANPARPERPHIPLWPNGPOLPopulation country listsPORPRIPRKPSEPYFQATRank orderReflistREUROMRSARUSRWASAMSAUSDNSENSEYSHNSINSKNSLESLVSMRSOLSOMSPMSRBSRISSDSTPSUISURSVKSVNSWESWZSXMSYRTANTCATHATJKTKLTKMTLSTOGTONTRITUNTURTUVUAEUGAUKRURUUSAUZBVANVATVCTVENVGBVIRVNMWLFYEMZAMZIM

Main Menu

List of countries by future population (United Nations, constant mortality variant)

Sources

See also

List of countries by future population (United Nations, constant mortality variant)

Sources

See also

See Also

List of countries by future population (United Nations, zero-migration variant)

List of countries by future population (United Nations, instant replacement variant)

List of countries by future population (United Nations, no change variant)

List of countries by future population (United Nations, high fertility variant)

List of countries by future population (United Nations, constant fertility variant)