Conservative targets for next UK election

The following list shows the [[Constituencies in the next United Kingdom general election|parliamentary seats]] which the [[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]] have to gain at the [[Next United Kingdom general election|next UK General Election]] in order to win an overall majority in the [[British House of Commons|House of Commons]], at [[Westminster]]. The figures have been compiled using the Media Guide to The New Parliamentary constituencies (ISBN 0948858 45 1) published by the [[University of Plymouth]]'s Election Centre in association with the [[BBC]], [[ITN]], the [[Press Association]] and [[Sky News]]. These figures will be the ones used on [[Election Night]].<BR>
<BR>
'''Key Seat''': The seat that marks the dividing line between each table<BR>
''Three / Four Way Marginal'': A seat where all of the major parties contesting the seat are less than 20% apart<BR>
<BR>
'''Conservative Benchmarks'''<BR>
If all the seats between Gillingham and Rainham and Dorset South go blue, Gordon Brown remains Prime Minister<BR>
If all the seats between Gillingham and Rainham and Hammersmith go blue, Gordon Brown is the leader of the largest party in a hung Parliament<BR>
If all the seats between Gillingham and Rainham and Cleveleys and Ipswich go blue, David Cameron is the leader of the largest party in a hung Parliament<BR>
If all the seats turn blue, David Cameron becomes Prime Minister<BR>

{| class="wikitable" style="width:650px"
!rowspan=1 width="50px"|Rank
!rowspan=1 width="300px"|Constituency
!colspan=2 width="200px"|Winning party
!rowspan=1 width="50px"|Swing needed
|-
|1
|[[Gillingham and Rainham (UK Parliament constituency)|Gillingham and Rainham]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|0.02
|-
|2
|[[Crawley (UK Parliament constituency)|Crawley]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|0.04
|-
|3
|[[York Outer (UK Parliament constituency)|''York Outer'']]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|0.22
|-
|4
|[[Romsey and Southampton North (UK Parliament constituency)|Romsey and Southampton North]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|0.23
|-
|5
|[[Harlow (UK Parliament constituency)|Harlow]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|0.29
|-
|6
|[[Cheltenham (UK Parliament constituency)|Cheltenham]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|0.33
|-
|7
|[[Croydon Central (UK Parliament constituency)|Croydon Central]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|0.36
|-
|8
|[[Portsmouth North (UK Parliament constituency)|Portsmouth North]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|0.38
|-
|9
|[[Battersea (UK Parliament constituency)|Battersea]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|0.41
|-
|10
|[[Hove (UK Parliament constituency)|Hove]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|0.50
|-
|11
|[[Somerton and Frome (UK Parliament constituency)|Somerton and Frome]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|0.56
|-
|12
|[[Eastleigh (UK Parliament constituency)|Eastleigh]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|0.56
|-
|13
|[[Westmorland and Lonsdale(UK Parliament constituency)|Westmorland and Lonsdale]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|0.85
|-
|14
|[[Milton Keynes North(UK Parliament constituency)|Milton Keynes North]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|0.86
|-
|15
|[[Stroud (UK Parliament constituency)|Stroud]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|0.93
|-
|16
|[[Dartford (UK Parliament constituency)|Dartford]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|0.95
|-
|17
|[[Basildon South and Thurrock East (UK Parliament constituency)|Basildon South and Thurrock East]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.07
|-
|18
|[[Ealing Central and Acton (UK Parliament constituency)|''Ealing Central and Acton'']]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.08
|-
|19
|[[City of Chester(UK Parliament constituency)|City of Chester]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.10
|-
|20
|[[Hereford and Herefordshire South(UK Parliament constituency)|Hereford and Herefordshire South]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|1.19
|-
|21
|[[Colne Valley (UK Parliament constituency)|''Colne Valley'']]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.26
|-
|22
|[[Cardiff North (UK Parliament constituency)|Cardiff North]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.26
|-
|23
|[[Hastings and Rye(UK Parliament constituency)|Hastings and Rye]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.27
|-
|24
|[[Calder Valley (UK Parliament constituency)|Calder Valley]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.37
|-
|25
|[[Stourbridge(UK Parliament constituency)|Stourbridge]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.46
|-
|26
|[[Carshalton and Wallington (UK Parliament constituency)|Carshalton and Wallington]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|1.47
|-
|27
|[[Milton Keynes South(UK Parliament constituency)|Milton Keynes South]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.52
|-
|28
|[[Corby (UK Parliament constituency)|Corby]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.56
|-
|29
|[[Taunton Deane (UK Parliament constituency)|Taunton Deane]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|1.65
|-
|30
|[[Perth and Perthshire North (UK Parliament constituency)|Perth and Perthshire North]]
{{party name with colour|Scottish National Party}}
|1.66
|-
|31
|[[Vale of Glamorgan (UK Parliament constituency)|Vale of Glamorgan]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.68
|-
|32
|[[Swindon South (UK Parliament constituency)|Swindon South]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.75
|-
|33
|[[Dorset South (UK Parliament constituency)|'''Dorset South''']]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.86
|-
|34
|[[Northampton South (UK Parliament constituency)|Northampton South]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.89
|-
|35
|[[High Peak (UK Parliament constituency)|High Peak]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.90
|-
|36
|[[Loughborough (UK Parliament constituency)|Loughborough]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.94
|-
|37
|[[Aberconwy (UK Parliament constituency)|Aberconwy]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.96
|-
|38
|[[Watford (UK Parliament constituency)|''Watford'']]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|1.97
|-
|39
|[[Birmingham, Edgbaston (UK Parliament constituency)|Birmingham, Edgabaston]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.00
|-
|40
|[[Stafford (UK Parliament constituency)|Stafford]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.00
|-
|41
|[[Angus (UK Parliament constituency)|Angus]]
{{party name with colour|Scottish National Party}}
|2.10
|-
|42
|[[Broxtowe (UK Parliament constituency)|Broxtowe]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.22
|-
|43
|[[Chippenham (UK Parliament constituency)|Chippenham]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|2.35
|-
|44
|[[Burton (UK Parliament constituency)|Burton]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.40
|-
|45
|[[Brighton, Kemptown (UK Parliament constituency)|Brighton, Kemptown]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.42
|-
|46
|[[Bury North (UK Parliament constituency)|Bury North]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.52
|-
|47
|[[Redditch (UK Parliament constituency)|Redditch]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.60
|-
|48
|[[Rugby (UK Parliament constituency)|Rugby]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.60
|-
|49
|[[Pendle (UK Parliament constituency)|Pendle]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.65
|-
|50
|[[Wolverhampton South West (UK Parliament constituency)|Wolverhampton South West]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.66
|-
|51
|[[Carmarthenshire West and Pembrokeshire South(UK Parliament constituency)|Carmarthenshire West and Pembrokeshire South]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.66
|-
|52
|[[Ribble South (UK Parliament constituency)|Ribble South]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.71
|-
|53
|[[Derbyshire South (UK Parliament constituency)|Derbyshire South]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.73
|-
|54
|[[Bristol North West (UK Parliament constituency)|Bristol North West]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.85
|-
|55
|[[Dumfries and Galloway (UK Parliament constituency)|Dumfries and Galloway]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.87
|-
|56
|[[Tamworth (UK Parliament constituency)|Tamworth]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|2.94
|-
|57
|[[Torbay (UK Parliament constituency)|Torbay]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|3.01
|-
|58
|[[Cleethorpes (UK Parliament constituency)|Cleethorpes]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|3.03
|-
|59
|[[Sutton and Cheam (UK Parliament constituency)|Sutton and Cheam]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|3.11
|-
|60
|[[Swindon North (UK Parliament constituency)|Swindon North]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|3.12
|-
|61
|[[Westminster North (UK Parliament constituency)|Westminster North]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|3.30
|-
|62
|[[Worcester (UK Parliament constituency)|Worcester]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|3.39%
|-
|63
|[[Cornwall North (UK Parliament constituency)|Cornwall North]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|3.43
|-
|64
|[[Harrow East (UK Parliament constituency)|Harrow East]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|3.44
|-
|65
|[[Richmond Park (UK Parliament constituency)|Richmond Park]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|3.55
|-
|66
|[[Great Yarmouth (UK Parliament constituency)|Great Yarmouth]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|3.69
|-
|67
|[[Cheadle (UK Parliament constituency)|Cheadle]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|3.70
|-
|68
|[[Eltham (UK Parliament constituency)|Eltham]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|3.80
|-
|69
|[[Brigg and Goole (UK Parliament constituency)|Brigg and Goole]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|3.92
|-
|70
|[[Portsmouth South (UK Parliament constituency)|Portsmouth South]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|4.00
|-
|71
|[[Bedford (UK Parliament constituency)|Bedford]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.02
|-
|72
|[[Stevenage (UK Parliament constituency)|Stevenage]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.03
|-
|73
|[[Hendon (UK Parliament constituency)|Hendon]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.03
|-
|74
|[[Chatham and Aylesford (UK Parliament constituency)|Chatham and Aylesford]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.13
|-
|75
|[[Brentford and Isleworth (UK Parliament constituency)|Brentford and Isleworth]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.14
|-
|76
|[[Bradford West (UK Parliament constituency)|Bradford West]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.17
|-
|77
|[[Rossendale and Darwen (UK Parliament constituency)|Rossendale and Darwen]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.18
|-
|78
|[[Hammersmith (UK Parliament constituency)|'''Hammersmith''']]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.22
|-
|79
|[[Blackpool North and Cleveleys (UK Parliament constituency)|Blackpool North and Cleveleys]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.24
|-
|80
|[[Halifax (UK Parliament constituency)|Halifax]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.38
|-
|81
|[[Lancaster and Fleetwood (UK Parliament constituency)|Lancaster and Fleetwood]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.41
|-
|82
|[[Dewsbury (UK Parliament constituency)|Dewsbury]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.44
|-
|83
|[[Dudley South (UK Parliament constituency)|Dudley South]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.45
|-
|84
|[[Northampton North (UK Parliament constituency)|''Northampton North'']]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.50
|-
|85
|[[Edinburgh South (UK Parliament constituency)|''Edinburgh South'']]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.56
|-
|86
|[[Warrington South (UK Parliament constituency)|Warrington South]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.58
|-
|87
|[[Truro and Falmouth (UK Parliament constituency)|Truro and Falmouth]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|4.63
|-
|88
|[[Wirral South (UK Parliament constituency)|Wirral South]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.65
|-
|89
|[[Southport (UK Parliament constituency)|Southport]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|4.66
|-
|90
|[[Lincoln (UK Parliament constituency)|Lincoln]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.74
|-
|91
|[[Leicestershire North West (UK Parliament constituency)|Leicestershire North West]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.75
|-
|92
|[[Wyre Forest (UK Parliament constituency)|Wyre Forest]]
{{party name with colour|Independent Kidderminster Hospital and Health Concern}}
|4.76
|-
|93
|[[Gedling (UK Parliament constituency)|Gedling]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.82
|-
|94
|[[Halesowen and Rowley Regis (UK Parliament constituency)|Halesowen and Rowley Regis]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.83
|-
|95
|[[Nuneaton (UK Parliament constituency)|Nuneaton]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.87
|-
|96
|[[Ochil and Perthshire South (UK Parliament constituency)|''Ochil and Perthshire South'']]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|4.95
|-
|97
|[[Leeds North West (UK Parliament constituency)|''Leeds North West'']]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|5.02
|-
|98
|[[Brecon and Radnorshire (UK Parliament constituency)|Brecon and Radnorshire]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|5.09
|-
|99
|[[Camborne and Redruth (UK Parliament constituency)|''Camborne and Redruth'']]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|5.13
|-
|100
|[[Warwick and Leamington (UK Parliament constituency)|Warwick and Leamington]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|5.17
|-
|101
|[[Dover (UK Parliament constituency)|Dover]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|5.20
|-
|102
|[[Keighley (UK Parliament constituency)|Keighley]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|5.24
|-
|103
|[[Newton Abbot (UK Parliament constituency)|Newton Abbot]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|5.25
|-
|104
|[[Devon North (UK Parliament constituency)|Devon North]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|5.35
|-
|105
|[[Polar and Limehouse (UK Parliament constituency)|Poplar and Limehouse]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|5.42
|-
|106
|[[Stirling (UK Parliament constituency)|Stirling]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|5.46
|-
|107
|[[Plymouth, Sutton and Devonport (UK Parliament constituency)|Plymouth, Sutton and Devonport]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|5.56
|-
|108
|[[Dudley North (UK Parliament constituency)|Dudley North]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|5.57
|-
|109
|[[Elmet and Rothwell (UK Parliament constituency)|Elmet and Rothwell]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|5.71
|-
|110
|[[Reading West (UK Parliament constituency)|Reading West]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|5.74
|-
|111
|[[Tynemouth (UK Parliament constituency)|Tynemouth]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|5.83
|-
|112
|[[Morecambe and Lunesdale (UK Parliament constituency)|Morecambe and Lunesdale]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|5.87
|-
|113
|[[Pudsey (UK Parliament constituency)|Pudsey]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|5.87
|-
|114
|[[Cornwall South East (UK Parliament constituency)|Cornwall South East]]
{{party name with colour|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}
|5.89
|-
|115
|[[Ipswich (UK Parliament constituency)|'''Ipswich''']]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|5.91
|-
|116
|[[Bolton West (UK Parliament constituency)|Bolton West]]
{{party name with colour|Labour Party (UK)}}
|5.98
|-

[[Category:Politics of the United Kingdom]]
[[Category:United Kingdom general elections|2009-10]]