The next papal conclave will occur after the death or resignation of Pope Francis. Speculation The next conclave saw speculation in February and March 2025 after Francis developed double pneumonia. Papabili The conclave cardinals may elect any baptized Catholic male, but since 1389 they have always elected a fellow cardinal. Observers of papal elections tend to consider a few cardinals more likely choices than the others - these are the papabili, the plural for papabile, an Italian word which is practically rendered into English as "pope-able". Inasmuch as the set of papabili is a matter of speculation from the press, the election of a non-papabile is common; recent cases are John XXIII in 1958, John Paul I and John Paul II, both in 1978. Pietro Parolin of Italy, Robert Sarah of Guinea,
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